October Market Slice

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It’s that time again! Welcome to the newest edition of Market Slice, a piece of real estate delivered to your inbox every other month.

National: The Bank of Canada rose its rate, however the five year conventional mortgage rate (or “posted rate”) is still very low at 5.39%. There are discounted rates available as low as 3.45% for a five year fixed rate mortgage. There is some confusion over the Federal Government lending rules so I just want to clarify some points. First, you can still get high-ratio financing with as little as 5% down. Second, if you are getting a five year fixed rate mortgage, you only have to qualify at the discounted rate (3.45) instead of the bank rate. When in doubt, ask your mortgage broker or I can refer you to one.

Provincial: The HST referendum has caused some uncertainty in the new housing market. To reiterate, HST only affects new housing and not re-sale homes.

Local: The market in Victoria since August has been very slow. Sellers are being forced to lower their prices while buyers have been taking their time with purchases, chasing the low prices down. The prices will not continue to go down forever. I believe we’re reaching a tipping point where sellers are going to take their homes off the market and wait to sell or rent instead. As listings become restricted the prices will level off. The market in Victoria is cyclical in that prices move up and down but over the long run, they will continue to go up (so long as we stay the most temperate city in Canada!). If you are planning to move, find a home you’ll be happy in for at least 5-10 years and don’t panic when prices drop slightly.

Riding the roller coaster

I love how the media has a way with words “some agents are having to take on second jobs to make ends meet amid declining sales”.

Well let’s do the math. There are 1330 agents in Victoria and only 395 sales in September (that’s 790 ends) therefore many realtors did not have a single sale last month.

A good portion of the public doesn't realize this: Realtors work in a commission based industry. We do not make any money if we do not make a sale. Also, we do not get a salary from our brokerage! In fact, we pay an arm and a leg to be a part of a brokerage. We pay to have an office, colour copies, parking, coffee, sale fees, listing fees, board fees… and then we pay a percentage of our commissions as well. It`s a very expensive industry to work in so it`s no surprise to me agents are taking on a second job or getting out of the market completely.

When the market slows down, it can be stressful. Listings we thought were going to sell 2 months ago are still on the market. When the homes eventually do sell, we do not get paid until completion. There is a lot of uncertainty about where your next pay cheque will come from and how much of it has already been accounted for by the long list of expenses. That`s why it`s important to have three months of income in the bank at any given time.

These slow times don`t last forever though because markets are cyclical. There is always going to be ups and downs. The lack of sales from August and September means there`s a lot of buyers out there waiting to buy. I feel like there is pent up demand in Victoria and in October and November we`ll see an increase in sales again. As an agent, it`s important to become an expert at riding the real estate roller coaster.